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Madagascar External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Madagascar's external debt to gni was 40.93% in 2025, ranked 58th globally. This represents a 4.4% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1970–2025.

40.93% +1.72pp (+4.4%)
Year 2025 Rank #58 Global Peak 126.33% (1991) Source World Bank

Madagascar External Debt to GNI (1970–2025)

Overview

Madagascar's external debt to gni stood at 40.93% in 2025, a rise of +1.72pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 40.93% by 2025. Madagascar ranked 58th globally.

Madagascar’s external debt-to‑GNI ratio stood at 40.93 % in 2025, placing the country 58th in the world and just above the Dominican Republic’s 41.22 % and South Africa’s 41.35 % levels. The indicator has oscillated over a 56‑year span, climbing from a low of 8.75 % in 1976 to a dramatic peak of 126.33 % in 1991, when debt accumulation coincided with structural adjustment programmes and a sharp fall in export earnings. Since the early 1990s the ratio has trended downward, stabilising in the high‑30s to low‑40s range, reflecting gradual fiscal consolidation, modest growth in gross national income and periodic debt relief initiatives. Nevertheless, the current level remains markedly higher than the 1976 trough, indicating persistent vulnerability to external financing conditions. Continued improvements in export diversification, fiscal discipline and access to concessional financing could further reduce the debt burden, steering the ratio toward a more sustainable trajectory.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 42.03% - -
2026* trend 41.48% - -
2025* trend 40.93% - -
2025 40.93% +1.72pp #58
2024 39.21% −2.20pp #46
2023 41.41% +1.73pp #50
2022 39.69% +1.76pp #43
2021 37.92% −0.30pp #37
2020 38.22% +8.59pp #39
2019 29.63% +1.79pp #30
2018 27.84% +1.46pp #28
2017 26.38% +0.36pp #30
2016 26.02% −1.46pp #32
2015 27.48% +3.23pp #36
2014 24.24% −0.26pp #36
2013 24.50% −2.20pp #38
2012 26.71% +1.42pp #48
2011 25.29% −2.83pp #40
Show all years (1970-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +42.3% GDP growth 4.0% C/A balance 0.4%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Madagascar matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2016. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Madagascar's external debt to gni?▾

Madagascar's external debt to gni was 40.93% in 2025. Ranked 58th globally. This represents a 4.4% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Madagascar?▾

Madagascar's external debt to gni peaked at 126.33% in 1991.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Madagascar?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Madagascar was 8.75% in 1976.

How does Madagascar rank in external debt to gni?▾

Madagascar ranks 58th globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Madagascar in 2025?▾

Madagascar's external debt to gni is projected to reach 40.93% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Madagascar in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Madagascar in 2025 was 40.93%. This ranks 58th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Madagascar External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/madagascar/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_madagascar_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Madagascar External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/madagascar/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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