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Timor-Leste External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Timor-Leste's external debt to gni was 15.74% in 2025, ranked 107th globally. This represents a 2.4% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 2012–2025.

15.74% +0.37pp (+2.4%)
Year 2025 Rank #107 Global Peak 15.74% (2025) Source World Bank

Timor-Leste External Debt to GNI (2012–2025)

Overview

Timor-Leste's external debt to gni stood at 15.74% in 2025, a rise of +0.37pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 15.74% by 2025. Timor-Leste ranked 107th globally.

Timor‑Leste’s external debt as a share of gross national income has risen sharply over the fourteen‑year series, moving from a low of 1.76 % in 2012 to a peak of 15.73 % in 2025, the latter placing the country at 107th in the world rankings. This acceleration reflects a combination of increased borrowing to finance infrastructure and social programmes, alongside a modest expansion of GNI that has not kept pace with the debt accumulation. By contrast, peer economies such as Myanmar (16.58 % in 2025) and Chad (13.68 % in 2025) exhibit similar debt burdens, suggesting that small, developing states often resort to external financing when domestic revenue bases are limited. The upward trajectory signals heightened vulnerability to external shocks, as a larger debt service share could crowd out fiscal space for development spending. Continued consolidation of public finances and diversification of revenue sources will be crucial if Timor‑Leste seeks to stabilise or reverse the current debt‑to‑GNI trend.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 18.87% - -
2026* trend 17.30% - -
2025* trend 15.74% - -
2025 15.74% +0.37pp #107
2024 15.37% +2.81pp #10
2023 12.56% +3.14pp #6
2022 9.42% +1.38pp #5
2021 8.04% −1.74pp #3
2020 9.79% +2.70pp #3
2019 7.09% +0.02pp #3
2018 7.07% +1.55pp #3
2017 5.52% +1.87pp #3
2016 3.64% −0.54pp #3
2015 4.19% +1.06pp #3
2014 3.13% +0.97pp #3
2013 2.16% +0.39pp #2
2012 1.76% – #2
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +42.4% GDP growth 5.4% C/A balance 54.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Timor-Leste matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Timor-Leste's external debt to gni?▾

Timor-Leste's external debt to gni was 15.74% in 2025. Ranked 107th globally. This represents a 2.4% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Timor-Leste?▾

Timor-Leste's external debt to gni peaked at 15.74% in 2025.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Timor-Leste?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Timor-Leste was 1.76% in 2012.

How does Timor-Leste rank in external debt to gni?▾

Timor-Leste ranks 107th globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Timor-Leste in 2025?▾

Timor-Leste's external debt to gni is projected to reach 15.74% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Timor-Leste in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Timor-Leste in 2025 was 15.74%. This ranks 107th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Timor-Leste External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/timor-leste/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_timor-leste_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Timor-Leste External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/timor-leste/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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