Home → Timor-Leste → Money → Real Interest Rate

Timor-Leste Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Timor-Leste's real interest rate was 16.02% in 2025, ranked 4th globally. This represents a 32.6% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 2011–2025.

16.02% +3.93pp (+32.6%)
Year 2025 Rank #4 Global Peak 41.29% (2020) Source World Bank

Timor-Leste Real Interest Rate (2011–2025)

Overview

Timor-Leste's real interest rate stood at 16.02% in 2025, a rise of +3.93pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 16.02% by 2025. Timor-Leste ranked 4th globally.

Timor‑Leste’s real interest rate has been highly volatile over the 15‑year series, swinging from a modest –0.47 % in 2011 to an all‑time peak of 41.29 % in 2020 before plunging to a trough of –30.12 % in 2021. The latest 2025 figure of 16.02 % places the country fourth globally, a level still well above the 15.64 % recorded by Mozambique and the 13.53 % of Trinidad and Tobago, its nearest peers in the World Bank ranking. The sharp ascent to 41.29 % coincided with the pandemic‑induced fiscal tightening of 2020, while the subsequent plunge reflected aggressive monetary easing in 2021. Since the 2021 trough, real rates have risen steadily, suggesting a gradual re‑anchoring of policy as inflation pressures ease. Continued improvement in fiscal consolidation and external financing could sustain this upward trajectory, reducing the likelihood of another deep negative episode.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend 18.33% - -
2026* trend 17.17% - -
2025* trend 16.02% - -
2025 16.02% +3.93pp #4
2024 12.08% −27.76pp #73
2023 39.84% +40.17pp #90
2022 -0.33% +29.80pp #45
2021 -30.12% −71.42pp #2
2020 41.29% +31.60pp #110
2019 9.70% −5.33pp #92
2018 15.02% +1.50pp #109
2017 13.53% −0.36pp #119
2016 13.89% +8.02pp #117
2015 5.87% −7.82pp #62
2014 13.69% +17.32pp #122
2013 -3.63% −9.32pp #4
2012 5.70% +6.17pp #75
2011 -0.47% – #33
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +42.4% GDP growth 5.4% C/A balance 54.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Timor-Leste matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Timor-Leste's real interest rate?▾

Timor-Leste's real interest rate was 16.02% in 2025. Ranked 4th globally. This represents a 32.6% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Timor-Leste?▾

Timor-Leste's real interest rate peaked at 41.29% in 2020.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Timor-Leste?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Timor-Leste was -30.12% in 2021.

How does Timor-Leste rank in real interest rate?▾

Timor-Leste ranks 4th globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of Timor-Leste in 2025?▾

Timor-Leste's real interest rate is projected to reach 16.02% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of Timor-Leste in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of Timor-Leste in 2025 was 16.02%. This ranks 4th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Timor-Leste Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 10, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/timor-leste/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_timor-leste_real-interest-rate, title = {Timor-Leste Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/timor-leste/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
Part of the Kavela network · Where to watch movies, series & football globally → StreamWatchHub