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Mozambique Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Mozambique's real interest rate was 15.64% in 2025, ranked 5th globally. This represents a 9.1% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1997–2025.

15.64% +1.31pp (+9.1%)
Year 2025 Rank #5 Global Peak 20.31% (2003) Source World Bank

Mozambique Real Interest Rate (1997–2025)

Overview

Mozambique's real interest rate stood at 15.64% in 2025, a rise of +1.31pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 15.64% by 2025. Mozambique ranked 5th globally.

Mozambique’s real interest rate has remained high relative to global averages, standing at 15.64 % in 2025, which places the country fifth worldwide. The indicator has fluctuated over the 29‑year series, reaching an all‑time peak of 20.31 % in 2003 before falling to a trough of 6.65 % in 2000. Since the early 2000s, the rate has trended upward, reflecting tight monetary conditions and elevated inflation expectations that have constrained credit expansion. Compared with its nearest peers, Mozambique’s rate exceeds Timor‑Leste’s 16.02 % and is markedly above Trinidad and Tobago’s 13.53 %, while remaining below Nigeria’s 20.09 %. The persistent elevation suggests limited scope for fiscal stimulus and may deter private investment unless inflation pressures ease. Future movements will hinge on the Bank of Mozambique’s policy response to inflation and external debt dynamics, which could either moderate the rate or sustain its current trajectory.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend 16.92% - -
2026* trend 16.28% - -
2025* trend 15.64% - -
2025 15.64% +1.31pp #5
2024 14.33% −3.37pp #74
2023 17.71% +7.65pp #83
2022 10.06% −2.96pp #95
2021 13.02% −0.45pp #106
2020 13.48% −0.17pp #97
2019 13.64% −4.84pp #106
2018 18.49% +0.08pp #115
2017 18.41% +10.37pp #128
2016 8.04% +0.75pp #85
2015 7.29% −6.27pp #76
2014 13.56% +1.17pp #121
2013 12.40% −0.82pp #120
2012 13.22% −3.15pp #125
2011 16.37% +8.36pp #130
Show all years (1997-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 15.1% Rate 27.9% Gap +12.7pp Reserves YoY +64.2%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Mozambique matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2017. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Mozambique's real interest rate?▾

Mozambique's real interest rate was 15.64% in 2025. Ranked 5th globally. This represents a 9.1% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Mozambique?▾

Mozambique's real interest rate peaked at 20.31% in 2003.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Mozambique?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Mozambique was 6.65% in 2000.

How does Mozambique rank in real interest rate?▾

Mozambique ranks 5th globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of Mozambique in 2025?▾

Mozambique's real interest rate is projected to reach 15.64% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of Mozambique in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of Mozambique in 2025 was 15.64%. This ranks 5th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Mozambique Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/mozambique/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_mozambique_real-interest-rate, title = {Mozambique Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/mozambique/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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