Guinea-Bissau External Debt to GNI
External debt stocks as % of GNI DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS
Guinea-Bissau's external debt to gni was 68.46% in 2025, ranked 25th globally. This represents a 2.0% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1970–2025.
Overview
Guinea-Bissau's external debt to gni stood at 68.46% in 2025, a rise of +1.35pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 68.46% by 2025. Guinea-Bissau ranked 25th globally.
Guinea‑Bissau’s external debt as a share of gross national income has risen sharply since the 1970s, moving from a zero percent baseline in 1970 to an all‑time peak of 251.25 % in 2000, before retreating to a trough of 0.00 % in 1974. By 2025 the ratio stands at 68.46 % of GNI, placing the country 25th globally and closely aligned with Montenegro’s 68.63 % and Paraguay’s 69.68 % levels. The steep ascent after the early 1970s reflects a combination of fiscal deficits, reliance on concessional borrowing, and vulnerability to external shocks such as commodity price volatility and political instability. Although the post‑2000 decline suggests some debt‑management improvements, the current position remains high relative to many peers, indicating limited fiscal space for new borrowing and heightened sensitivity to interest‑rate movements. Continued consolidation of public finances, diversification of export earnings, and stronger debt‑service capacity will be crucial to reverse the upward trajectory and bring the ratio down in the coming years.
Data & projection
| Year | External Debt to GNI | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027* trend | 69.49% | - | - |
| 2026* trend | 68.98% | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 68.46% | - | - |
| 2025 | 68.46% | +1.35pp | #25 |
| 2024 | 67.11% | −0.96pp | #84 |
| 2023 | 68.07% | +0.40pp | #88 |
| 2022 | 67.67% | +1.31pp | #89 |
| 2021 | 66.36% | +0.96pp | #87 |
| 2020 | 65.40% | +9.56pp | #74 |
| 2019 | 55.84% | +1.06pp | #75 |
| 2018 | 54.78% | +4.34pp | #75 |
| 2017 | 50.43% | +3.27pp | #72 |
| 2016 | 47.17% | −1.83pp | #71 |
| 2015 | 48.99% | +15.63pp | #75 |
| 2014 | 33.36% | +5.08pp | #55 |
| 2013 | 28.28% | +1.06pp | #45 |
| 2012 | 27.23% | +4.31pp | #49 |
| 2011 | 22.91% | −91.66pp | #33 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Guinea-Bissau matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2008. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Guinea-Bissau's external debt to gni was 68.46% in 2025. Ranked 25th globally. This represents a 2.0% increase from the previous year.
Guinea-Bissau's external debt to gni peaked at 251.25% in 2000.
The lowest external debt to gni in Guinea-Bissau was 0.00% in 1970.
Guinea-Bissau ranks 25th globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.
Guinea-Bissau's external debt to gni is projected to reach 68.46% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The external debt to gni of Guinea-Bissau in 2025 was 68.46%. This ranks 25th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_guinea-bissau_external-debt-to-gni,
title = {Guinea-Bissau External Debt to GNI},
url = {https://historysaid.com/guinea-bissau/external-debt-to-gni/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}