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Honduras Budget Deficit

General government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP  GGXCNL_NGDP

Honduras's budget deficit was -1.61% in 2025, ranked 56th globally. This represents a 43.7% decrease from 2024. Data from IMF WEO, covering 1990–2025.

-1.61% −0.49% (-43.7%)
Year 2025 Rank #56 Global Peak 2.89% (1998) Source IMF WEO

Honduras Budget Deficit (1990–2025)

Overview

Honduras's budget deficit stood at -1.61% in 2025, a decline of +0.49% from 2024. The IMF projects -1.61% by 2025. Honduras ranked 56th globally.

Honduras’ primary budget deficit stood at –1.61 percent of GDP in 2025, ranking 56th globally according to the IMF World Economic Outlook, and placing it between Paraguay (–1.66) and Cabo Verde (–1.58) among peers with similar fiscal gaps. The deficit has narrowed considerably from its all‑time peak of 2.89 percent in 1998, a year marked by expansive public spending and a modest revenue base, to a deep trough of –5.48 percent in 2013 when fiscal consolidation and higher tax collection reduced the shortfall. Over the 36‑year coverage period, the trajectory has shifted from occasional surpluses to a more persistent, albeit shrinking, deficit, reflecting structural challenges in revenue mobilization and expenditure control. Continued reforms in tax administration and targeted cuts in non‑productive spending could further compress the deficit, steering Honduras toward a modest primary surplus in the medium term.

Data & projection

Year Budget Deficit YoY change Rank
2030* IMF -1.24% - -
2029* IMF -1.27% - -
2028* IMF -1.34% - -
2027* IMF -1.51% - -
2026* IMF -1.66% - -
2025* IMF -1.61% - -
2025 -1.61% −0.49% #56
2024 -1.12% +0.85% #134
2023 -1.96% −3.54% #112
2022 1.57% +4.74% #167
2021 -3.17% +1.42% #108
2020 -4.58% −4.67% #122
2019 0.09% −0.11% #138
2018 0.20% +0.61% #136
2017 -0.41% −0.01% #142
2016 -0.40% +0.38% #141
2015 -0.78% +2.03% #145
2014 -2.81% +2.67% #94
2013 -5.48% −2.00% #30
2012 -3.48% −0.54% #67
2011 -2.94% +0.43% #86
Show all years (1990-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 20.2% Rate 32.1% Gap +11.9pp Reserves YoY +128.2%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Honduras matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 1997. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw budget deficit improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Honduras's budget deficit?▾

Honduras's budget deficit was -1.61% in 2025. Ranked 56th globally. This represents a 43.7% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest budget deficit in Honduras?▾

Honduras's budget deficit peaked at 2.89% in 1998.

What was the lowest budget deficit in Honduras?▾

The lowest budget deficit in Honduras was -5.48% in 2013.

How does Honduras rank in budget deficit?▾

Honduras ranks 56th globally in budget deficit as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for budget deficit?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GGXCNL_NGDP. Data sourced from IMF WEO.

What is the projected budget deficit of Honduras in 2025?▾

Honduras's budget deficit is projected to reach -1.61% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the budget deficit of Honduras in 2025?▾

The budget deficit of Honduras in 2025 was -1.61%. This ranks 56th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Honduras Budget Deficit. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 28, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/honduras/budget-deficit/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_honduras_budget-deficit, title = {Honduras Budget Deficit}, url = {https://historysaid.com/honduras/budget-deficit/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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