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Kazakhstan External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Kazakhstan's external debt to gni was 49.14% in 2025, ranked 45th globally. This represents a 21.5% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1993–2025.

49.14% −13.47pp (-21.5%)
Year 2025 Rank #45 Global Peak 134.85% (2016) Source World Bank

Kazakhstan External Debt to GNI (1993–2025)

Overview

Kazakhstan's external debt to gni stood at 49.14% in 2025, a decline of +13.47pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 49.14% by 2025. Kazakhstan ranked 45th globally.

Kazakhstan’s external debt-to‑GNI ratio has risen sharply from a low of 7.39% in 1993 to an all‑time peak of 134.85% in 2016, before retreating to 49.14% in 2025, placing it 45th in the world. The rapid expansion in the mid‑2010s reflected heavy borrowing to finance large‑scale infrastructure and energy projects, while the subsequent decline coincided with a combination of debt‑service reforms, higher commodity prices and a modest fiscal consolidation effort. At 49.14% the ratio is virtually identical to Colombia’s 49.17% and closely mirrors Cambodia’s 49.25%, suggesting that Kazakhstan now occupies a middle‑income debt profile comparable to several emerging markets. The 33‑year coverage of the series shows that the country has moved from a historically modest external liability base to a level that, while still high, is no longer at the extreme peaks of the past decade. Continued diversification of export revenues and prudent fiscal management could further moderate the debt‑to‑GNI trajectory in the coming years.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 24.38% - -
2026* trend 36.76% - -
2025* trend 49.14% - -
2025 49.14% −13.47pp #45
2024 62.60% −10.30pp #79
2023 72.90% −11.89pp #92
2022 84.79% −15.48pp #99
2021 100.27% −10.55pp #101
2020 110.82% +3.45pp #106
2019 107.37% +4.90pp #108
2018 102.47% −7.22pp #112
2017 109.69% −25.16pp #113
2016 134.85% +44.47pp #115
2015 90.38% +9.75pp #106
2014 80.63% +8.82pp #103
2013 71.81% −3.70pp #97
2012 75.51% +0.10pp #102
2011 75.41% −17.19pp #102
Show all years (1993-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +21.9% GDP growth 7.3% C/A balance 1.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Kazakhstan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2010. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kazakhstan's external debt to gni?▾

Kazakhstan's external debt to gni was 49.14% in 2025. Ranked 45th globally. This represents a 21.5% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Kazakhstan?▾

Kazakhstan's external debt to gni peaked at 134.85% in 2016.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Kazakhstan?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Kazakhstan was 7.39% in 1993.

How does Kazakhstan rank in external debt to gni?▾

Kazakhstan ranks 45th globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Kazakhstan in 2025?▾

Kazakhstan's external debt to gni is projected to reach 49.14% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Kazakhstan in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Kazakhstan in 2025 was 49.14%. This ranks 45th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Kazakhstan External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/kazakhstan/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_kazakhstan_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Kazakhstan External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/kazakhstan/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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