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Mexico Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Mexico's dependency ratio was 48.27 in 2025, ranked 159th globally. This represents a 0.9% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

48.27 −0.45 (-0.9%)
Year 2025 Rank #159 Global Peak 101.91 (1972) Source World Bank

Mexico Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Mexico's dependency ratio stood at 48.27 in 2025, a decline of +0.45 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 48.27 by 2025. Mexico ranked 159th globally.

Mexico’s dependency ratio has fallen dramatically over the 66‑year span from 98.33 in 1960 to a trough of 48.27 in 2025, the lowest level recorded in the series and the 159th lowest among all nations in the World Bank database. The all‑time peak of 101.91 occurred in 1972, reflecting a post‑demographic‑transition surge in the proportion of non‑working‑age persons relative to the labor force. The recent decline mirrors broader regional patterns; for example, El Salvador posted a comparable ratio of 48.51 and Ecuador 48.16 in the same year, underscoring a shift toward a younger, more economically active population in Latin America. Structural reforms, rising labor‑force participation among women, and modest improvements in life expectancy have all contributed to the compression of the dependent cohort. If fertility rates continue to moderate and health outcomes improve, the dependency ratio is likely to remain low, supporting a favorable dependency burden for Mexico’s economy in the coming decades.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 47.48 - -
2026* trend 47.87 - -
2025* trend 48.27 - -
2025 48.27 −0.45 #159
2024 48.72 −0.32 #57
2023 49.04 −0.34 #59
2022 49.38 −0.43 #60
2021 49.81 −0.50 #65
2020 50.31 −0.48 #71
2019 50.79 −0.48 #78
2018 51.27 −0.55 #81
2017 51.82 −0.58 #90
2016 52.40 −0.58 #99
2015 52.97 −0.54 #109
2014 53.51 −0.51 #112
2013 54.03 −0.54 #115
2012 54.56 −0.62 #120
2011 55.18 −0.75 #124
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 16.6% Rate 23.7% Gap +7.2pp Reserves YoY -0.1%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Mexico matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 1999. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Mexico's dependency ratio?▾

Mexico's dependency ratio was 48.27 in 2025. Ranked 159th globally. This represents a 0.9% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Mexico?▾

Mexico's dependency ratio peaked at 101.91 in 1972.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Mexico?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Mexico was 48.27 in 2025.

How does Mexico rank in dependency ratio?▾

Mexico ranks 159th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Mexico in 2025?▾

Mexico's dependency ratio is projected to reach 48.27 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Mexico in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Mexico in 2025 was 48.27. This ranks 159th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Mexico Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/mexico/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_mexico_dependency-ratio, title = {Mexico Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/mexico/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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