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Moldova Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Moldova's real interest rate was 0.88% in 2025, ranked 63rd globally. This represents a 59.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1995–2025.

0.88% −1.31pp (-59.7%)
Year 2025 Rank #63 Global Peak 19.52% (1998) Source World Bank

Moldova Real Interest Rate (1995–2025)

Overview

Moldova's real interest rate stood at 0.88% in 2025, a decline of +1.31pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 0.88% by 2025. Moldova ranked 63rd globally.

Moldova’s real interest rate has fallen sharply from an all‑time peak of 19.52 % in 1998 to a historic trough of –12.71 % in 2010, reflecting the combined impact of volatile inflation and accommodative monetary policy during the post‑Soviet transition. Over the 31‑year span covered, the rate has gradually moderated, reaching 0.88 % in 2025, which places the country 63rd in the global ranking and closely aligns with Bangladesh’s 0.91 % and Switzerland’s 0.76 %. The modest positive level in 2025 suggests a tentative shift away from the deep negative rates that characterized the early 2010s, yet it remains well below the pre‑crisis highs. Continued fiscal consolidation, a stable price environment and gradual improvements in financial market depth could sustain this modest upward trajectory, while any resurgence of inflationary pressures or external shocks might pull the real rate back toward negative territory.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend 1.14% - -
2026* trend 1.01% - -
2025* trend 0.88% - -
2025 0.88% −1.31pp #63
2024 2.20% −0.60pp #22
2023 2.80% +8.73pp #39
2022 -5.94% −6.89pp #19
2021 0.95% −1.51pp #49
2020 2.47% −0.28pp #24
2019 2.75% −2.71pp #22
2018 5.46% +1.59pp #62
2017 3.87% −6.49pp #59
2016 10.36% +8.05pp #104
2015 2.31% −3.27pp #21
2014 5.58% −2.47pp #53
2013 8.05% +2.47pp #87
2012 5.58% −0.19pp #72
2011 5.77% +18.49pp #90
Show all years (1995-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 28.7% Real rate -5.9%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Moldova matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Moldova's real interest rate?▾

Moldova's real interest rate was 0.88% in 2025. Ranked 63rd globally. This represents a 59.7% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Moldova?▾

Moldova's real interest rate peaked at 19.52% in 1998.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Moldova?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Moldova was -12.71% in 2010.

How does Moldova rank in real interest rate?▾

Moldova ranks 63rd globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of Moldova in 2025?▾

Moldova's real interest rate is projected to reach 0.88% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of Moldova in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of Moldova in 2025 was 0.88%. This ranks 63rd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Moldova Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/moldova/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_moldova_real-interest-rate, title = {Moldova Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/moldova/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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