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Russian Federation Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Russian Federation's real interest rate was -6.28% in 2025, ranked 90th globally. This represents a 287.1% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1997–2025.

-6.28% −9.64pp (-287.1%)
Year 2025 Rank #90 Global Peak 19.62% (1998) Source World Bank

Russian Federation Real Interest Rate (1997–2025)

Overview

Russian Federation's real interest rate stood at -6.28% in 2025, a decline of +9.64pp from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach -6.28% by 2025. Russian Federation ranked 90th globally.

The Russian Federation has experienced significant fluctuations in its real interest rate over the past 28 years, with a notable all-time peak of 19.62% in 1998, a year marked by the Russian financial crisis. Conversely, the real interest rate plummeted to an all-time trough of -18.95% in 1999, a year that saw a significant economic downturn in the country. As of 2025, Russia's real interest rate stands at -6.28%, ranking 90th globally. In comparison, countries such as Fiji and Bulgaria have similar real interest rates, with Fiji standing at -5.62% and Bulgaria at -5.41%. The prolonged negative real interest rate in Russia may have implications for the country's inflation and economic growth. A shift in monetary policy or an improvement in the country's economic prospects could potentially alter the trajectory of Russia's real interest rate, with a return to positive rates potentially on the horizon.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2026* trend -7.82% - -
2025* trend -6.28% - -
2025 -6.28% −9.64pp #90
2023 3.36% +9.05pp #45
2022 -5.69% +3.64pp #21
2021 -9.33% −15.15pp #10
2020 5.83% +0.51pp #52
2019 5.32% +6.35pp #45
2018 -1.03% −5.97pp #13
2017 4.95% −4.54pp #69
2016 9.48% +1.59pp #92
2015 7.89% +4.50pp #83
2014 3.40% −0.54pp #32
2013 3.94% +3.76pp #44
2012 0.18% +13.03pp #20
2011 -12.86% −9.90pp #4
2010 -2.96% −16.04pp #18
Show all years (1997-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 13.7% Real rate -5.7%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Russian Federation matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Russian Federation's real interest rate?▾

Russian Federation's real interest rate was -6.28% in 2025. Ranked 90th globally. This represents a 287.1% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Russian Federation?▾

Russian Federation's real interest rate peaked at 19.62% in 1998.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Russian Federation?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Russian Federation was -18.95% in 1999.

How does Russian Federation rank in real interest rate?▾

Russian Federation ranks 90th globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of Russian Federation in 2025?▾

Russian Federation's real interest rate is projected to reach -6.28% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of Russian Federation in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of Russian Federation in 2025 was -6.28%. This ranks 90th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Russian Federation Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 8, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/russian-federation/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_russian-federation_real-interest-rate, title = {Russian Federation Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/russian-federation/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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