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Rwanda Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Rwanda's dependency ratio was 69.17 in 2025, ranked 45th globally. This represents a 1.6% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

69.17 −1.15 (-1.6%)
Year 2025 Rank #45 Global Peak 118.45 (1995) Source World Bank

Rwanda Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Rwanda's dependency ratio stood at 69.17 in 2025, a decline of +1.15 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 69.17 by 2025. Rwanda ranked 45th globally.

Rwanda’s dependency ratio has undergone a pronounced decline over the past six decades, falling from 109.66 in 1960 to 69.17 in 2025, the lowest point on record and the 45th highest globally. This downward trajectory reflects sustained reductions in fertility rates and improvements in child survival, contributing to a shrinking youth population relative to the working-age cohort. The all-time peak of 118.45 in 1995 occurred amid post-conflict demographic disruptions and high fertility, but since then, the ratio has dropped by over 41 percentage points. In 2025, Rwanda’s dependency ratio is nearly identical to that of peer countries such as Equatorial Guinea, which recorded 69.19, underscoring a regional convergence in demographic structures. With a dependency burden now below 70, Rwanda benefits from a potential demographic dividend, provided investments in education, health, and job creation keep pace with labor force growth. Continued declines in the dependency ratio are likely in the near term, contingent on sustained fertility reductions and expanded economic opportunities for young adults.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 67.17 - -
2026* trend 68.17 - -
2025* trend 69.17 - -
2025 69.17 −1.15 #45
2024 70.32 −0.78 #175
2023 71.10 −0.96 #175
2022 72.05 −1.10 #175
2021 73.15 −1.17 #176
2020 74.31 −1.19 #176
2019 75.50 −1.08 #177
2018 76.58 −0.90 #179
2017 77.48 −0.76 #178
2016 78.24 −0.68 #177
2015 78.92 −0.61 #177
2014 79.54 −0.62 #178
2013 80.16 −0.68 #182
2012 80.84 −0.74 #182
2011 81.57 −0.74 #181
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 19.8% Rate 16.1% Gap -3.7pp Reserves YoY +6.3%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Rwanda matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2023. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Rwanda's dependency ratio?▾

Rwanda's dependency ratio was 69.17 in 2025. Ranked 45th globally. This represents a 1.6% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Rwanda?▾

Rwanda's dependency ratio peaked at 118.45 in 1995.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Rwanda?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Rwanda was 69.17 in 2025.

How does Rwanda rank in dependency ratio?▾

Rwanda ranks 45th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Rwanda in 2025?▾

Rwanda's dependency ratio is projected to reach 69.17 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Rwanda in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Rwanda in 2025 was 69.17. This ranks 45th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Rwanda Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 9, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/rwanda/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_rwanda_dependency-ratio, title = {Rwanda Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/rwanda/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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