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Uganda Credit to GDP

Domestic credit to private sector as % of GDP  FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS

Uganda's credit to gdp was 14.70% in 2025, ranked 130th globally. This represents a 2.8% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 2011–2025.

14.70% +0.40% (+2.8%)
Year 2025 Rank #130 Global Peak 15.09% (2022) Source World Bank

Uganda Credit to GDP (2011–2025)

Overview

Uganda's credit to gdp stood at 14.70% in 2025, a rise of +0.40% from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 14.70% by 2025. Uganda ranked 130th globally.

Uganda’s credit‑to‑GDP ratio has risen steadily over the 15‑year series, moving from an all‑time trough of 11.66 % in 2011 to a peak of 15.09 % in 2022, before settling at 14.70 % in 2025, which places the country 130th globally. The gradual increase reflects expanding access to formal financing, driven by government‑led initiatives to deepen financial inclusion and a modest expansion of the banking sector. Compared with peers of similar ranking, Uganda’s ratio is close to Argentina’s 14.73 % and Papua New Guinea’s 14.43 % in the same year, suggesting a comparable level of credit market development within emerging economies. The upward trajectory is consistent with the broader regional trend of rising indebtedness to support infrastructure and private‑sector growth. Future movements will likely hinge on fiscal policy choices, external debt sustainability and the pace of domestic financial sector reforms, which could either reinforce the current upward path or temper it if prudential constraints tighten.

Data & projection

Year Credit to GDP YoY change Rank
2027* trend 14.73% - -
2026* trend 14.72% - -
2025* trend 14.70% - -
2025 14.70% +0.40% #130
2024 14.30% −0.51% #10
2023 14.81% −0.28% #20
2022 15.09% +0.30% #28
2021 14.79% +0.57% #28
2020 14.22% +0.42% #25
2019 13.81% +0.17% #24
2018 13.64% +0.16% #24
2017 13.48% −0.16% #21
2016 13.64% −0.13% #18
2015 13.77% +0.87% #20
2014 12.90% +0.68% #19
2013 12.23% +0.06% #21
2012 12.17% +0.51% #24
2011 11.66% – #25
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 16.6% Rate 21.8% Gap +5.3pp Reserves YoY -3.3%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Uganda matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2011. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw credit to gdp improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uganda's credit to gdp?▾

Uganda's credit to gdp was 14.70% in 2025. Ranked 130th globally. This represents a 2.8% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest credit to gdp in Uganda?▾

Uganda's credit to gdp peaked at 15.09% in 2022.

What was the lowest credit to gdp in Uganda?▾

The lowest credit to gdp in Uganda was 11.66% in 2011.

How does Uganda rank in credit to gdp?▾

Uganda ranks 130th globally in credit to gdp as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for credit to gdp?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected credit to gdp of Uganda in 2025?▾

Uganda's credit to gdp is projected to reach 14.70% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the credit to gdp of Uganda in 2025?▾

The credit to gdp of Uganda in 2025 was 14.70%. This ranks 130th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Uganda Credit to GDP. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/uganda/credit-to-gdp/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_uganda_credit-to-gdp, title = {Uganda Credit to GDP}, url = {https://historysaid.com/uganda/credit-to-gdp/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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