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Uganda Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Uganda's real interest rate was 14.75% in 2018, ranked 108th globally. This represents a 7.2% decrease from 2017. Data from World Bank, covering 1983–2018.

14.75% −1.14pp (-7.2%)
Year 2018 Rank #108 Global Peak 23.00% (2002) Source World Bank

Uganda Real Interest Rate (1983–2018)

Overview

Uganda's real interest rate stood at 14.75% in 2018, a decline of +1.14pp from 2017. Uganda ranked 108th globally.

Uganda’s real interest rate has been highly volatile over the 35‑year series, swinging from a record low of –53.44% in 1988 to an all‑time high of 23.00% in 2002 before settling at 14.75% in 2018, which placed the country 108th globally. The sharp negative rates of the late 1980s reflected severe macro‑economic dislocation, while the early‑2000s peak coincided with tighter monetary policy aimed at curbing inflation. By 2018 the rate remained markedly above that of Tanzania (13.99%) and Timor‑Leste (15.02%), suggesting a comparatively restrictive stance in the region. The persistent elevation above peer averages indicates that Uganda continues to prioritize price stability, but the lingering volatility implies sensitivity to external shocks and fiscal imbalances. If inflation pressures ease and fiscal consolidation progresses, the real interest rate may gradually decline, aligning more closely with neighboring economies and supporting sustainable credit growth.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2018 14.75% −1.14pp #108
2017 15.89% −2.34pp #125
2016 18.23% +1.68pp #128
2015 16.55% +0.88pp #114
2014 15.68% −3.34pp #127
2013 19.01% −2.47pp #138
2012 21.49% +10.11pp #133
2011 11.37% −2.39pp #123
2010 13.76% +48.50pp #127
2009 -34.74% −47.99pp #1
2008 13.24% +2.26pp #126
2007 10.98% −4.93pp #114
2006 15.91% −5.86pp #128
2005 21.77% +17.43pp #128
2004 4.34% −5.99pp #52
Show all years (1983-2018)

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 16.6% Rate 21.8% Gap +5.3pp Reserves YoY -3.3%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Uganda matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2011. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uganda's real interest rate?▾

Uganda's real interest rate was 14.75% in 2018. Ranked 108th globally. This represents a 7.2% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Uganda?▾

Uganda's real interest rate peaked at 23.00% in 2002.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Uganda?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Uganda was -53.44% in 1988.

How does Uganda rank in real interest rate?▾

Uganda ranks 108th globally in real interest rate as of 2018.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the real interest rate of Uganda in 2018?▾

The real interest rate of Uganda in 2018 was 14.75%. This ranks 108th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Uganda Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/uganda/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_uganda_real-interest-rate, title = {Uganda Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/uganda/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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