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Uganda Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Uganda's dependency ratio was 82.81 in 2025, ranked 13th globally. This represents a 1.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

82.81 −1.46 (-1.7%)
Year 2025 Rank #13 Global Peak 111.21 (2001) Source World Bank

Uganda Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Uganda's dependency ratio stood at 82.81 in 2025, a decline of +1.46 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 82.81 by 2025. Uganda ranked 13th globally.

Uganda’s dependency ratio has fallen markedly over the 66‑year series, descending from a post‑colonial high of 93.77 in 1960 to a historic trough of 82.81 in 2025, which places the country at rank 13 globally. The indicator peaked at 111.21 in 2001, reflecting a period when the proportion of children and elderly relative to the working‑age population was unusually high; since then, demographic transition, declining fertility and modest improvements in life expectancy have compressed the ratio. Uganda’s 2025 figure of 82.81 is closely aligned with Tanzania’s 83.02, underscoring a regional pattern of gradual easing of age‑related pressures. The sustained decline suggests that the labour force is expanding faster than dependent cohorts, a dynamic that could bolster economic growth if matched by adequate job creation and skill development. Continued reductions in the dependency ratio will depend on maintaining low fertility rates and extending healthy longevity, which together could further improve Uganda’s demographic dividend.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 80.12 - -
2026* trend 81.46 - -
2025* trend 82.81 - -
2025 82.81 −1.46 #13
2024 84.27 −1.22 #205
2023 85.49 −1.16 #205
2022 86.64 −1.39 #205
2021 88.03 −1.67 #205
2020 89.70 −1.87 #206
2019 91.57 −1.99 #206
2018 93.56 −2.08 #208
2017 95.64 −2.31 #209
2016 97.95 −2.08 #210
2015 100.03 −1.63 #211
2014 101.66 −1.30 #213
2013 102.96 −1.05 #215
2012 104.02 −0.98 #215
2011 104.99 −0.97 #215
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 16.6% Rate 21.8% Gap +5.3pp Reserves YoY -3.3%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Uganda matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2011. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uganda's dependency ratio?▾

Uganda's dependency ratio was 82.81 in 2025. Ranked 13th globally. This represents a 1.7% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Uganda?▾

Uganda's dependency ratio peaked at 111.21 in 2001.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Uganda?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Uganda was 82.81 in 2025.

How does Uganda rank in dependency ratio?▾

Uganda ranks 13th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Uganda in 2025?▾

Uganda's dependency ratio is projected to reach 82.81 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Uganda in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Uganda in 2025 was 82.81. This ranks 13th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Uganda Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/uganda/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_uganda_dependency-ratio, title = {Uganda Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/uganda/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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