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Bulgaria External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Bulgaria's external debt to gni was 50.24% in 2025, ranked 41st globally. This represents a 8.9% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1981–2025.

50.24% −4.90pp (-8.9%)
Year 2025 Rank #41 Global Peak 171.30% (1991) Source World Bank

Bulgaria External Debt to GNI (1981–2025)

Overview

Bulgaria's external debt to gni stood at 50.24% in 2025, a decline of +4.90pp from 2022. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 50.24% by 2025. Bulgaria ranked 41st globally.

Bulgaria's external debt to GNI ratio has experienced significant fluctuations over the past four decades. At 3.93% in 1981, it was at its lowest point before rising steadily, peaking at 171.30% in 1991 during the country's economic transition. This peak was a result of the country's shift from a centrally planned economy to a market-based one, which led to increased borrowing from international lenders. As of 2025, the ratio has decreased to 50.24%, placing Bulgaria at the 41st position globally. Compared to its peer countries, such as Burundi at 49.38%, Bulgaria's debt-to-GNI ratio remains relatively high. Despite the decrease, the high ratio is a concern, as it may limit the country's ability to respond to future economic shocks. A sustained increase in economic growth, driven by investments in key sectors such as manufacturing and services, could potentially alter the trajectory of Bulgaria's external debt to GNI ratio in the coming years.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2025* trend 50.24% - -
2025 50.24% −4.90pp #41
2022 55.14% −0.32pp #72
2021 55.46% −13.46pp #66
2020 68.92% +8.00pp #78
2019 60.92% −1.90pp #79
2018 62.82% −8.20pp #84
2017 71.02% −5.70pp #86
2016 76.72% −5.49pp #95
2015 82.21% −1.18pp #100
2014 83.39% −11.24pp #104
2013 94.63% −1.36pp #108
2012 95.99% +10.55pp #112
2011 85.44% −16.72pp #108
2010 102.15% −8.42pp #112
2009 110.58% +8.22pp #114
Show all years (1981-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 15.3% Real rate -10.5%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Bulgaria matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Bulgaria's external debt to gni?▾

Bulgaria's external debt to gni was 50.24% in 2025. Ranked 41st globally. This represents a 8.9% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Bulgaria?▾

Bulgaria's external debt to gni peaked at 171.30% in 1991.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Bulgaria?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Bulgaria was 3.93% in 1981.

How does Bulgaria rank in external debt to gni?▾

Bulgaria ranks 41st globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Bulgaria in 2025?▾

Bulgaria's external debt to gni is projected to reach 50.24% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Bulgaria in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Bulgaria in 2025 was 50.24%. This ranks 41st in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Bulgaria External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 9, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/bulgaria/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_bulgaria_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Bulgaria External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/bulgaria/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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