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Malawi External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Malawi's external debt to gni was 35.32% in 2025, ranked 73rd globally. This represents a 0.2% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1980–2025.

35.32% +0.07pp (+0.2%)
Year 2025 Rank #73 Global Peak 117.51% (1994) Source World Bank

Malawi External Debt to GNI (1980–2025)

Overview

Malawi's external debt to gni stood at 35.32% in 2025, a rise of +0.07pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 35.32% by 2025. Malawi ranked 73rd globally.

Malawi’s external debt-to‑GNI ratio stood at 35.32 % in 2025, placing the country 73rd in the World Bank ranking and matching São Tomé and Principe’s 2025 figure while slightly above the Republic of Congo’s 34.90 % and Türkiye’s 34.74 %. The indicator has traversed a 46‑year span from a high of 46.09 % in 1980 to an all‑time peak of 117.51 % in 1994, when debt accumulation accelerated under structural adjustment programmes, before falling to a trough of 10.19 % in 2010 after aggressive debt relief and fiscal consolidation. Since that low, the ratio has risen steadily, reflecting renewed borrowing for infrastructure and social spending amid limited domestic revenue mobilisation. The recent level suggests a moderate debt burden relative to peers, but continued fiscal deficits could keep the ratio elevated; further debt‑service reforms or enhanced export performance would be needed to reverse the upward trajectory.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 39.57% - -
2026* trend 37.44% - -
2025* trend 35.32% - -
2025 35.32% +0.07pp #73
2024 35.25% +6.06pp #36
2023 29.19% +1.48pp #28
2022 27.71% +1.08pp #24
2021 26.63% +0.74pp #19
2020 25.89% +3.38pp #22
2019 22.51% −1.20pp #21
2018 23.70% −1.05pp #26
2017 24.75% +1.32pp #25
2016 23.43% +4.29pp #27
2015 19.14% −0.08pp #21
2014 19.22% −0.63pp #24
2013 19.85% +4.44pp #24
2012 15.42% +4.89pp #15
2011 10.52% +0.34pp #7
Show all years (1980-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Currency Crisis Pattern
Rapid currency depreciation (>30% YoY) combined with reserve drawdown and inflation surge. Often precedes emergency rate hikes.
Inflation 21.7% Reserves YoY -10.4% FX YoY +43.7%
Occurred 128 times, 35 successful
Inflation
133.5%
Reserves YoY
-48.5%
FX YoY
+126.8%
Inflation
38.1%
Reserves YoY
-30.4%
FX YoY
+33.2%
Inflation
221.3%
Reserves YoY
-15.4%
FX YoY
+820.4%
Inflation
47.6%
Reserves YoY
-20.6%
FX YoY
+51.7%
Inflation
667.4%
Reserves YoY
-80.7%
FX YoY
+835.9%
Inflation
31.3%
Reserves YoY
-47.5%
FX YoY
+42.5%
24 mo later
22.8%

Analysis

Malawi matched the Currency Crisis Pattern pattern in 2016. Historically, 27% of countries showing this pattern (35 out of 128) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Malawi's external debt to gni?▾

Malawi's external debt to gni was 35.32% in 2025. Ranked 73rd globally. This represents a 0.2% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Malawi?▾

Malawi's external debt to gni peaked at 117.51% in 1994.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Malawi?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Malawi was 10.19% in 2010.

How does Malawi rank in external debt to gni?▾

Malawi ranks 73rd globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Malawi in 2025?▾

Malawi's external debt to gni is projected to reach 35.32% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Malawi in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Malawi in 2025 was 35.32%. This ranks 73rd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Malawi External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/malawi/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_malawi_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Malawi External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/malawi/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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