Mexico Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
Mexico's fertility rate was 1.86 in 2025, ranked 109th globally. This represents a 2.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Mexico's fertility rate stood at 1.86 in 2025, a decline of +0.05 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.86 by 2025. Mexico ranked 109th globally.
Mexico’s fertility rate has fallen sharply over the 65‑year span from 6.76 in 1960 to an all‑time trough of 1.86 in 2025, ranking it 109th globally. The peak of 6.83 in 1964 marked the height of the post‑war baby boom, after which successive declines reflected urbanisation, expanded female education and the diffusion of modern contraceptives. By 2025 the rate is virtually identical to that of Belize (1.85) and only marginally lower than Palau’s 1.87, illustrating how Mexico now shares a low‑fertility profile with many small island and Central American economies. The sustained drop below replacement level suggests a tightening of the working‑age population, raising pressure on pension systems and health‑care provision. Continued policy efforts to support childbearing, such as parental‑leave incentives and affordable childcare, could moderate the downward trajectory, while persistent labour‑market constraints may keep the rate near its current low.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 1.83 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.86 | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.86 | −0.05 | #109 |
| 2023 | 1.91 | −0.03 | #108 |
| 2022 | 1.94 | −0.03 | #109 |
| 2021 | 1.97 | −0.02 | #108 |
| 2020 | 1.99 | −0.03 | #105 |
| 2019 | 2.02 | −0.01 | #103 |
| 2018 | 2.03 | −0.01 | #103 |
| 2017 | 2.04 | −0.04 | #101 |
| 2016 | 2.09 | −0.05 | #105 |
| 2015 | 2.14 | −0.07 | #106 |
| 2014 | 2.21 | −0.06 | #108 |
| 2013 | 2.27 | −0.02 | #111 |
| 2012 | 2.29 | −0.02 | #112 |
| 2011 | 2.32 | −0.02 | #112 |
| 2010 | 2.34 | −0.02 | #111 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Mexico matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 1999. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Mexico's fertility rate was 1.86 in 2025. Ranked 109th globally. This represents a 2.7% decrease from the previous year.
Mexico's fertility rate peaked at 6.83 in 1964.
The lowest fertility rate in Mexico was 1.86 in 2025.
Mexico ranks 109th globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Mexico's fertility rate is projected to reach 1.86 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of Mexico in 2025 was 1.86. This ranks 109th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_mexico_fertility-rate,
title = {Mexico Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/mexico/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}