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Mozambique Budget Deficit

General government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP  GGXCNL_NGDP

Mozambique's budget deficit was -5.32% in 2025, ranked 147th globally. This represents a 13.8% increase from 2024. Data from IMF WEO, covering 1980–2025.

-5.32% +0.85% (+13.8%)
Year 2025 Rank #147 Global Peak 1.70% (2019) Source IMF WEO

Mozambique Budget Deficit (1980–2025)

Overview

Mozambique's budget deficit stood at -5.32% in 2025, a rise of +0.85% from 2024. The IMF projects -5.32% by 2025. Mozambique ranked 147th globally.

Mozambique’s general government budget deficit widened to –5.32 percent of GDP in 2025, placing the country 147th in the IMF World Economic Outlook ranking and closely matching peers such as Pakistan (–5.33) and Namibia (–5.37). The deficit’s trajectory has been volatile over the 46‑year sample, expanding from a modest –1.48 percent in 1980 to a historic low of –15.77 percent in 1983, before reaching a positive peak of 1.70 percent in 2019, the only year in which revenues exceeded expenditures. The recent swing back into deficit reflects the combined impact of lower commodity prices, a weaker tax base, and heightened financing needs for infrastructure and social programs. Compared with Zambia (–5.25) and Trinidad and Tobago (–5.20), Mozambique’s fiscal position remains similarly constrained, suggesting limited fiscal space for additional stimulus without further borrowing. Continued improvement will depend on stabilising export earnings, broadening the tax net and implementing disciplined expenditure reforms, which could gradually narrow the deficit in the coming years.

Data & projection

Year Budget Deficit YoY change Rank
2030* IMF -0.33% - -
2029* IMF -1.68% - -
2028* IMF -3.36% - -
2027* IMF -3.70% - -
2026* IMF -4.22% - -
2025* IMF -5.32% - -
2025 -5.32% +0.85% #147
2024 -6.17% −1.91% #34
2023 -4.26% +0.96% #61
2022 -5.22% +0.01% #55
2021 -5.23% +0.96% #71
2020 -6.19% −7.90% #93
2019 1.70% +9.09% #164
2018 -7.39% −4.49% #11
2017 -2.90% +2.52% #74
2016 -5.42% +1.13% #41
2015 -6.56% +3.20% #33
2014 -9.75% −7.29% #6
2013 -2.46% +0.99% #93
2012 -3.45% +0.89% #68
2011 -4.34% −0.84% #56
Show all years (1980-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 15.1% Rate 27.9% Gap +12.7pp Reserves YoY +64.2%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Mozambique matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2017. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw budget deficit improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Mozambique's budget deficit?▾

Mozambique's budget deficit was -5.32% in 2025. Ranked 147th globally. This represents a 13.8% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest budget deficit in Mozambique?▾

Mozambique's budget deficit peaked at 1.70% in 2019.

What was the lowest budget deficit in Mozambique?▾

The lowest budget deficit in Mozambique was -15.77% in 1983.

How does Mozambique rank in budget deficit?▾

Mozambique ranks 147th globally in budget deficit as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for budget deficit?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GGXCNL_NGDP. Data sourced from IMF WEO.

What is the projected budget deficit of Mozambique in 2025?▾

Mozambique's budget deficit is projected to reach -5.32% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the budget deficit of Mozambique in 2025?▾

The budget deficit of Mozambique in 2025 was -5.32%. This ranks 147th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Mozambique Budget Deficit. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/mozambique/budget-deficit/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_mozambique_budget-deficit, title = {Mozambique Budget Deficit}, url = {https://historysaid.com/mozambique/budget-deficit/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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