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South Africa Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

South Africa's real interest rate was 8.91% in 2025, ranked 16th globally. This represents a 20.1% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1961–2025.

8.91% +1.49pp (+20.1%)
Year 2025 Rank #16 Global Peak 12.69% (1998) Source World Bank

South Africa Real Interest Rate (1961–2025)

Overview

South Africa's real interest rate stood at 8.91% in 2025, a rise of +1.49pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 8.91% by 2025. South Africa ranked 16th globally.

South Africa's real interest rate has exhibited significant fluctuations over the past 65 years, with a peak of 12.69% in 1998 and a trough of -11.01% in 1980. Notably, the country's real interest rate has consistently ranked above its peer countries, with Seychelles being the closest, recording a 9.55% real interest rate. In 2025, South Africa's real interest rate stands at 8.91%, ranking 16th globally. The high real interest rate in South Africa indicates a strong economy, with a high level of creditworthiness, contributing to a higher return on investments. However, a significant change in the country's economic landscape, such as a shift in monetary policy or a major economic downturn, could alter this trajectory and impact the real interest rate, potentially leading to a decrease, should investors become more cautious.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend 12.17% - -
2026* trend 10.54% - -
2025* trend 8.91% - -
2025 8.91% +1.49pp #16
2024 7.42% +0.95pp #53
2023 6.47% +3.10pp #60
2022 3.37% +2.78pp #70
2021 0.60% −1.60pp #44
2020 2.20% −3.07pp #20
2019 5.27% −0.59pp #44
2018 5.86% +1.21pp #65
2017 4.65% +1.37pp #65
2016 3.28% −0.39pp #36
2015 3.67% +0.10pp #38
2014 3.57% +1.06pp #36
2013 2.51% −1.37pp #25
2012 3.88% +0.60pp #52
2011 3.28% −0.21pp #64
Show all years (1961-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +14.4% GDP growth 3.2% C/A balance 0.0%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

South Africa matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 1994. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is South Africa's real interest rate?▾

South Africa's real interest rate was 8.91% in 2025. Ranked 16th globally. This represents a 20.1% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in South Africa?▾

South Africa's real interest rate peaked at 12.69% in 1998.

What was the lowest real interest rate in South Africa?▾

The lowest real interest rate in South Africa was -11.01% in 1980.

How does South Africa rank in real interest rate?▾

South Africa ranks 16th globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of South Africa in 2025?▾

South Africa's real interest rate is projected to reach 8.91% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of South Africa in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of South Africa in 2025 was 8.91%. This ranks 16th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
South Africa Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 19, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/south-africa/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_south-africa_real-interest-rate, title = {South Africa Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/south-africa/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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