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Uganda Fertility Rate

Total fertility rate  SP.DYN.TFRT.IN

Uganda's fertility rate was 4.05 in 2025, ranked 21st globally. This represents a 5.5% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

4.05 −0.24 (-5.5%)
Year 2025 Rank #21 Global Peak 7.20 (1975) Source World Bank

Uganda Fertility Rate (1960–2025)

Overview

Uganda's fertility rate stood at 4.05 in 2025, a decline of +0.24 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 4.05 by 2025. Uganda ranked 21st globally.

Uganda’s total fertility rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year series, descending from 6.91 in 1960 to an all‑time trough of 4.05 in 2025, which also represents the country’s latest figure and places it 21st globally. The peak of 7.20 recorded in 1975 marks the high point of the post‑colonial baby boom, after which sustained declines have been driven by expanding primary education, modest improvements in contraceptive prevalence and gradual urbanisation. Compared with regional peers, Uganda’s 2025 rate of 4.05 is virtually identical to the Republic of Congo (4.05) and only marginally above Guinea (4.04) while remaining higher than Zambia’s 3.94, reflecting a slower transition in reproductive behaviour than some neighbours. The persistent downward trajectory suggests that, barring major policy reversals or economic shocks, Uganda is likely to continue approaching sub‑four‑child averages in the coming decade, especially if family‑planning services are further strengthened.

Data & projection

Year Fertility Rate YoY change Rank
2026* trend 3.93 - -
2025* trend 4.05 - -
2025 4.05 −0.24 #21
2023 4.28 −0.11 #199
2022 4.39 −0.12 #200
2021 4.51 −0.11 #201
2020 4.62 −0.12 #202
2019 4.74 −0.12 #202
2018 4.87 −0.12 #201
2017 4.99 −0.13 #201
2016 5.11 −0.14 #202
2015 5.25 −0.16 #204
2014 5.41 −0.15 #205
2013 5.56 −0.17 #205
2012 5.73 −0.16 #205
2011 5.89 −0.13 #206
2010 6.02 −0.11 #208
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 16.6% Rate 21.8% Gap +5.3pp Reserves YoY -3.3%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Uganda matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2011. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uganda's fertility rate?▾

Uganda's fertility rate was 4.05 in 2025. Ranked 21st globally. This represents a 5.5% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest fertility rate in Uganda?▾

Uganda's fertility rate peaked at 7.20 in 1975.

What was the lowest fertility rate in Uganda?▾

The lowest fertility rate in Uganda was 4.05 in 2025.

How does Uganda rank in fertility rate?▾

Uganda ranks 21st globally in fertility rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for fertility rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected fertility rate of Uganda in 2025?▾

Uganda's fertility rate is projected to reach 4.05 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the fertility rate of Uganda in 2025?▾

The fertility rate of Uganda in 2025 was 4.05. This ranks 21st in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Uganda Fertility Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 10, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/uganda/fertility-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_uganda_fertility-rate, title = {Uganda Fertility Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/uganda/fertility-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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