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Uzbekistan Budget Deficit

General government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP  GGXCNL_NGDP

Uzbekistan's budget deficit was -2.36% in 2025, ranked 72nd globally. This represents a 0.4% increase from 2024. Data from IMF WEO, covering 1992–2025.

-2.36% +0.01% (+0.4%)
Year 2025 Rank #72 Global Peak 7.15% (1992) Source IMF WEO

Uzbekistan Budget Deficit (1992–2025)

Overview

Uzbekistan's budget deficit stood at -2.36% in 2025, a rise of +0.01% from 2024. The IMF projects -2.36% by 2025. Uzbekistan ranked 72nd globally.

Uzbekistan’s budget deficit has narrowed sharply since the early 1990s, falling from an all‑time peak of 7.15 percent of GDP in 1992 to a deep trough of –11.95 percent in 1993, before stabilising around modest deficits in the subsequent decades. By 2025 the deficit stood at –2.36 percent, ranking 72nd globally and placing Uzbekistan close to peers such as Georgia (–2.27 percent) and Peru (–2.42 percent). The rapid contraction after the post‑Soviet shock reflects fiscal consolidation measures and improved tax administration, while the recent modest negative gap indicates a balanced approach between expenditure restraint and revenue mobilisation. Over the 34‑year series, the deficit’s volatility has diminished, suggesting a more predictable fiscal stance. Continued structural reforms, especially in public‑sector efficiency and broadening the tax base, could further reduce the deficit and sustain the downward trajectory observed in recent years.

Data & projection

Year Budget Deficit YoY change Rank
2030* IMF -2.33% - -
2029* IMF -2.34% - -
2028* IMF -2.34% - -
2027* IMF -2.39% - -
2026* IMF -2.30% - -
2025* IMF -2.36% - -
2025 -2.36% +0.01% #72
2024 -2.37% +1.66% #102
2023 -4.03% −0.38% #66
2022 -3.65% +0.45% #81
2021 -4.10% −1.15% #94
2020 -2.95% −2.65% #149
2019 -0.30% −1.94% #126
2018 1.64% +0.60% #158
2017 1.04% +0.34% #161
2016 0.70% +0.98% #164
2015 -0.28% −2.18% #158
2014 1.90% −0.25% #166
2013 2.15% −3.73% #172
2012 5.89% +0.78% #175
2011 5.11% +2.55% #177
Show all years (1992-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 17.5% Rate 20.0% Gap +2.4pp Reserves YoY -3.5%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Uzbekistan matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2018. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw budget deficit improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uzbekistan's budget deficit?▾

Uzbekistan's budget deficit was -2.36% in 2025. Ranked 72nd globally. This represents a 0.4% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest budget deficit in Uzbekistan?▾

Uzbekistan's budget deficit peaked at 7.15% in 1992.

What was the lowest budget deficit in Uzbekistan?▾

The lowest budget deficit in Uzbekistan was -11.95% in 1993.

How does Uzbekistan rank in budget deficit?▾

Uzbekistan ranks 72nd globally in budget deficit as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for budget deficit?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GGXCNL_NGDP. Data sourced from IMF WEO.

What is the projected budget deficit of Uzbekistan in 2025?▾

Uzbekistan's budget deficit is projected to reach -2.36% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the budget deficit of Uzbekistan in 2025?▾

The budget deficit of Uzbekistan in 2025 was -2.36%. This ranks 72nd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Uzbekistan Budget Deficit. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 19, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/uzbekistan/budget-deficit/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_uzbekistan_budget-deficit, title = {Uzbekistan Budget Deficit}, url = {https://historysaid.com/uzbekistan/budget-deficit/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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