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Uzbekistan Fertility Rate

Total fertility rate  SP.DYN.TFRT.IN

Uzbekistan's fertility rate was 3.86 in 2025, ranked 26th globally. This represents a 10.2% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

3.86 +0.36 (+10.2%)
Year 2025 Rank #26 Global Peak 6.88 (1962) Source World Bank

Uzbekistan Fertility Rate (1960–2025)

Overview

Uzbekistan's fertility rate stood at 3.86 in 2025, a rise of +0.36 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 3.86 by 2025. Uzbekistan ranked 26th globally.

Uzbekistan’s total fertility rate has fallen dramatically since the early 1960s, declining from an all‑time peak of 6.88 children per woman in 1962 to a trough of 2.34 in 2012, before rising modestly to 3.86 in 2025, which places the country 26th worldwide. Over the 65‑year span, the downward trajectory mirrors the broader demographic transition experienced across many post‑Soviet states, yet the recent uptick suggests a partial reversal of the long‑term decline. Compared with peers of similar rank, Uzbekistan’s 2025 rate is just below Equatorial Guinea’s 3.91 and marginally above Madagascar’s 3.85, indicating that its fertility level remains relatively high for a middle‑income economy in Central Asia. The modest rebound after 2012 may reflect policy incentives for larger families and improvements in child‑bearing age health services. Continued investment in reproductive health and socioeconomic development will be crucial to determine whether the upward shift consolidates into a new steady state or reverts to the lower levels of the early 2010s.

Data & projection

Year Fertility Rate YoY change Rank
2026* trend 4.02 - -
2025* trend 3.86 - -
2025 3.86 +0.36 #26
2023 3.50 +0.10 #173
2022 3.40 +0.12 #172
2021 3.27 +0.21 #165
2020 3.06 +0.19 #160
2019 2.87 +0.16 #148
2018 2.71 +0.14 #139
2017 2.57 +0.01 #131
2016 2.56 −0.02 #128
2015 2.58 +0.04 #130
2014 2.55 +0.10 #126
2013 2.45 +0.11 #122
2012 2.34 −0.02 #114
2011 2.35 −0.09 #116
2010 2.44 −0.12 #119
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 17.5% Rate 20.0% Gap +2.4pp Reserves YoY -3.5%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Uzbekistan matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2018. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Uzbekistan's fertility rate?▾

Uzbekistan's fertility rate was 3.86 in 2025. Ranked 26th globally. This represents a 10.2% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest fertility rate in Uzbekistan?▾

Uzbekistan's fertility rate peaked at 6.88 in 1962.

What was the lowest fertility rate in Uzbekistan?▾

The lowest fertility rate in Uzbekistan was 2.34 in 2012.

How does Uzbekistan rank in fertility rate?▾

Uzbekistan ranks 26th globally in fertility rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for fertility rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected fertility rate of Uzbekistan in 2025?▾

Uzbekistan's fertility rate is projected to reach 3.86 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the fertility rate of Uzbekistan in 2025?▾

The fertility rate of Uzbekistan in 2025 was 3.86. This ranks 26th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Uzbekistan Fertility Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 12, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/uzbekistan/fertility-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_uzbekistan_fertility-rate, title = {Uzbekistan Fertility Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/uzbekistan/fertility-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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