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Hong Kong SAR, China Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate was 1.38% in 2025, ranked 58th globally. This represents a 25.0% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1990–2025.

1.38% −0.46pp (-25.0%)
Year 2025 Rank #58 Global Peak 13.13% (1999) Source World Bank

Hong Kong SAR, China Real Interest Rate (1990–2025)

Overview

Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate stood at 1.38% in 2025, a decline of +0.46pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.38% by 2025. Hong Kong SAR, China ranked 58th globally.

Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate has fluctuated significantly over the past 36 years, with a notable peak of 13.13% in 1999 and a trough of -2.33% in 1992. As of the latest available data in 2025, the real interest rate stands at 1.38%, ranking 58th globally. This is slightly higher than that of Italy, which has a real interest rate of 1.37%, and lower than Kuwait's 1.62%. Compared to its peers, Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate is relatively stable, with Jamaica having a slightly lower rate of 1.23%. The current rate is significantly lower than its peak in 1999, indicating a shift towards more accommodative monetary policies. As global economic conditions continue to evolve, a change in inflation expectations or a shift in monetary policy stance could alter the trajectory of Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend 0.09% - -
2026* trend 0.74% - -
2025* trend 1.38% - -
2025 1.38% −0.46pp #58
2024 1.84% −0.95pp #20
2023 2.80% −0.56pp #40
2022 3.36% −0.93pp #69
2021 4.29% −0.05pp #66
2020 4.33% +1.34pp #40
2019 3.00% +1.66pp #26
2018 1.33% −0.73pp #24
2017 2.06% −1.25pp #37
2016 3.31% +2.00pp #37
2015 1.31% −0.78pp #16
2014 2.09% −1.04pp #21
2013 3.13% +1.73pp #30
2012 1.41% +0.34pp #27
2011 1.06% −3.66pp #41
Show all years (1990-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +11.7% GDP growth 3.8% C/A balance 4.6%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Hong Kong SAR, China matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2017. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate was 1.38% in 2025. Ranked 58th globally. This represents a 25.0% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Hong Kong SAR, China?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate peaked at 13.13% in 1999.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Hong Kong SAR, China?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Hong Kong SAR, China was -2.33% in 1992.

How does Hong Kong SAR, China rank in real interest rate?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China ranks 58th globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of Hong Kong SAR, China in 2025?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China's real interest rate is projected to reach 1.38% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of Hong Kong SAR, China in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of Hong Kong SAR, China in 2025 was 1.38%. This ranks 58th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Hong Kong SAR, China Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/hong-kong-sar-china/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_hong-kong-sar-china_real-interest-rate, title = {Hong Kong SAR, China Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/hong-kong-sar-china/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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